Some thoughts and commentary post-August CPI release.

The BOJ recently exited from its decades-long zero interest rate policy. Does this portend a new era? Let's also learn about vol clustering.

Inflation and interest rates are still influencing markets in 2024. In this podcast, we share our thoughts on this topic.

The results from the first FOMC this year will be known in 2 days. This round, overwhelming odds (97%) betted on the rates holding.

Interest rates continue to be the driving macro factor in markets. Let's take a look at the outlook for interest rates in 2024.

Despite all the negative headlines after Jackson Hole, I don't think the speech is as bad as what the media paints it to be at first.

Why is inflation not coming down as fast despite one of the most rapid and massive series of rate hikes since the 80s?

Headline inflation is coming down fast. This is mainly driven by lower commodity prices. However, core inflation remains sticky. What's next

T-Bills were the golden opportunity last year. However, they are maturing soon and yields have come down. Here's the next golden opportunity

Shortly after Jerome Powell's testimony within the very same week, the US witnessed the second and the third largest bank failure in history

The Federal Reserve of Cleveland has an inflation nowcast tool that predicts the near-term CPI which is rather accurate.

There is a market narrative that we have seen peak inflation. However, let's play devil's advocate and look at the opposite narrative.

Inflation is the main driver of markets in 2022. Is inflation under control now? Let's look at what history suggests and some indicators.

The US Treasury yield curve has flattened since the middle of June and became inverted in July 2022.